Paddy Dow

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Brisbane

Away

Marvel

Projected48

Opp Avg Conceded45.8

Venue Avg57.0

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 4: BYE

Round 5

Port Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected42

Opp Avg Conceded49.2

Venue Avg68.0

Difficulty

Hard (#18)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Brisbane

Home

Marvel

Lachie Neale

MID

Avg 107.5

vs BRL: 97.1 avg (17 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 86.5 / you 41.0

Josh Dunkley

MID

Avg 94.5

vs BRL: 100.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 86.0 / you 41.0

Zac Bailey

MID

Avg 76.0

vs BRL: 72.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 74.5 / you 41.0

Bruce Reville

MID

Avg 75.0

vs BRL: 42.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 42.5 / you 41.0

Jarrod Berry

MID

Avg 75.0

vs BRL: 93.5 avg (10 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 89.5 / you 41.0

Round 5 vs Port Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Zak Butters

MID

Avg 114.5

vs PTA: 91.3 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 114.0 / you 38.0

Willem Drew

MID

Avg 98.5

vs PTA: 75.4 avg (7 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 88.0 / you 38.0

Jason Horne-Francis

MID

Avg 97.5

vs PTA: 101.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 118.0 / you 38.0

Connor Rozee

MID

Avg 80.0

vs PTA: 78.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 103.0 / you 38.0

Jackson Mead

MID

Avg 65.0

vs PTA: 61.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 63.0 / you 38.0

Round 6 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Sam Berry

MID

Avg 103.0

vs ADE: 81.7 avg (3 gm)No shared games

Jordan Dawson

MID

Avg 97.0

vs ADE: 98.1 avg (8 gm)No shared games

Chayce Jones

MID

Avg 86.0

vs ADE: 46.5 avg (4 gm)No shared games

Brayden Cook

MID

Avg 77.0

vs ADE: 46.0 avg (1 gm)No shared games

Izak Rankine

MID

Avg 77.0

vs ADE: 72.0 avg (5 gm)No shared games

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	BrisbaneBRL	H	Marvel	45.8	45.9	4	60	29	41.0(-15)	-0.1	25.0
4	BYE
5	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	49.2	38.2	5	77	27	38.0(-18)	-2.7	19.8
6	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	64.3	65.0	3	88	31	—	+0.7	—
7	West CoastWCE	H	Marvel	72.5	73.5	4	76	70	82.0(+26)	+3.9	45.4
8	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	61.0	61.0	1	61	61	63.4(+7)	-0.3	37.1
9	Gold CoastGCS	A	TIO	61.8	62.8	8	99	28	75.0(+19)	+2.4	41.2
10	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	59.4	71.0	5	109	27	109.0(+53)	+2.3	66.4
11	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	58.5	52.4	6	84	27	61.8(+6)	+0.3	30.5
12	HawthornHAW	H	Marvel	45.5	45.8	2	49	42	—	-1.6	—
13	SydneySYD	A	SCG	49.0	52.0	3	65	40	—	-0.7	—
14	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	52.5	51.6	6	66	11	71.0(+15)	-2.2	40.2
15	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Marvel	61.0	60.8	4	75	41	61.0(+5)	-3.8	—
16	BYE
17	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	41.0	30.7	4	71	16	76.0(+20)	+0.2	10.4
18	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Marvel	49.2	38.2	5	77	27	38.0(-18)	-2.7	19.8
19	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	55.3	49.7	4	72	47	47.0(-9)	-1.7	28.6
20	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	56.0	59.2	3	89	38	—	+3.4	—
21	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	49.0	52.0	3	65	40	—	-0.7	—
22	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	61.0	61.0	1	61	61	63.4(+7)	-0.3	37.1
23	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	59.4	71.0	5	109	27	109.0(+53)	+2.3	66.4
24	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	61.8	62.8	8	99	28	75.0(+19)	+2.4	41.2

Ownership & Trading

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm