Zach Guthrie

GEEDEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$440k

Average

72.5

+72.5L3 avg

Total Points

145

+2games

Breakeven

108

36 below avg

Ownership

0.8%

+111rank

Position Rank

229

-118change

Value

16.50

+16.50L3 value

Career Avg

69.7

+2.8vs season

Last 3 Seasons

79.5

-7.0vs season

Last Year Avg

81.2

-8.7vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

72.5

Prev: 77.3

5-Game Avg

72.5

Projected

Range: 65–89

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 13.0

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (72.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	108	36 below
BE2 (2-wk)	104	32 below
BE3 (3-wk)	80	8 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$425,500	$-14,000
2 wks	$415,600	$-9,900
3 wks	$412,200	$-3,400

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$387,500 – $375,900	$52k to $64k	(API: $-14,000)
2 wks	$366,200 – $349,800	$21k to $26k	(API: $-9,900)
3 wks	$379,800 – $366,400	+$14k to +$17k	(API: $-3,400)

Total$60k to $73k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Adelaide

Away

GMHBA

Projected77

Opp Avg Conceded64.0

Venue Avg71.5

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Round 4

Hawthorn

Home

MCG

Projected82

Opp Avg Conceded71.8

Venue Avg68.5

Difficulty

Easy (#3)

Round 5

West Coast

Away

Norwood Oval

Projected73

Opp Avg Conceded64.5

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Easy (#4)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Adelaide

Home

GMHBA

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 79.5

vs ADE: 65.9 avg (19 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 75.3 / you 64.2

Alex Neal-Bullen

FWD

Avg 71.0

vs ADE: 69.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 66.3 / you 75.5

Ben Keays

FWD

Avg 47.5

vs ADE: 70.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 75.7 / you 70.3

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 77.0

vs ADE: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 75.2 / you 78.2

Darcy Fogarty

FWD

Avg 52.0

vs ADE: 65.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 66.6 / you 74.2

Round 4 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Jack Gunston

FWD

Avg 92.0

vs HAW: 72.7 avg (22 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 61.6 / you 62.0

Connor Macdonald

FWD

Avg 91.0

vs HAW: 64.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 67.3 / you 85.0

Dylan Moore

FWD

Avg 84.3

vs HAW: 72.0 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 71.8 / you 85.0

Mabior Chol

FWD

Avg 65.3

vs HAW: 57.6 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 61.5 / you 83.8

Nick Watson

FWD

Avg 91.3

vs HAW: 67.3 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 67.3 / you 79.3

Round 5 vs West Coast

Home

Norwood Oval

Jack Graham

FWD

Avg 85.5

vs WCE: 75.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 78.0 / you 56.3

Tim Kelly

FWD

Avg 90.0

vs WCE: 91.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 95.8 / you 65.3

Jake Waterman

FWD

Avg 68.0

vs WCE: 76.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 93.0 / you 71.5

Jamie Cripps

FWD

Avg 59.0

vs WCE: 57.2 avg (13 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 73.5 / you 68.8

Bailey J. Williams

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs WCE: 79.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 79.8 / you 70.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	AdelaideADE	H	GMHBA	64.0	82.8	7	95	26	72.5(+3)	+1.0	17.5
4	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	71.8	81.7	6	102	45	79.0(+9)	+0.6	19.3
5	West CoastWCE	H	Norwood Oval	64.5	70.4	6	100	49	66.4(-3)	+0.5	16.1
6	Western BulldogsWBD	H	GMHBA	87.0	83.2	7	106	59	88.2(+19)	-0.7	19.0
7	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	69.4	81.9	7	104	19	68.5(-1)	-1.9	17.6
8	North MelbourneNTH	H	GMHBA	77.1	67.1	7	142	57	72.6(+3)	-0.5	15.1
9	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	61.7	79.4	6	100	28	72.9(+3)	-1.2	16.3
10	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	62.0	78.0	6	98	20	65.4(-4)	-1.6	17.0
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	49.5	65.9	8	76	15	58.7(-11)	-1.9	13.9
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	76.4	73.8	5	91	67	71.4(+2)	-0.2	17.3
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	64.0	82.8	7	95	26	72.5(+3)	+1.0	17.5
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	73.2	76.1	5	97	44	73.0(+3)	+3.1	17.1
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	89.5	97.0	4	109	58	82.6(+13)	+0.3	20.4
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	62.0	78.0	6	98	20	65.4(-4)	-1.6	17.0
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	61.3	76.0	9	100	17	74.1(+4)	-1.3	17.3
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	70.1	84.8	10	108	24	73.7(+4)	+1.6	18.8
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	78.7	106.9	6	119	27	72.8(+3)	+0.9	23.7
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	61.7	79.4	6	100	28	72.9(+3)	-1.2	16.3
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	75.9	86.7	8	114	46	77.9(+8)	+0.3	20.8
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	77.1	67.1	7	142	57	72.6(+3)	-0.5	15.1
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	67.4	85.6	8	133	21	87.7(+18)	+3.2	20.1

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.8%

-0.0%

Rank

1362.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.1%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

92.3%

Bench %

7.7%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.85%+0.18%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2
0 Gold Coast