Riley Thilthorpe

ADEFWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$525k

Average

83.0

+83.0L3 avg

Total Points

166

+2games

Breakeven

137

54 below avg

Ownership

4.5%

+244rank

Position Rank

177

+67change

Value

15.80

+15.80L3 value

Career Avg

72.4

+10.6vs season

Last 3 Seasons

78.7

+4.3vs season

Last Year Avg

97.1

-14.1vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

83.0

Prev: 93.7

5-Game Avg

83.0

Projected

105

Range: 68–112

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 22.3

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (83.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	137	54 below
BE2 (2-wk)	120	37 below
BE3 (3-wk)	90	7 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$504,500	$-20,900
2 wks	$498,800	$-5,700
3 wks	$495,900	$-2,900

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$511,300 – $508,100	$14k to $17k	(API: $-20,900)
2 wks	$509,400 – $505,800	$2k to $2k	(API: $-5,700)
3 wks	$509,200 – $505,600	$0k to $0k	(API: $-2,900)

Total$16k to $20k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Geelong

Home

GMHBA

Projected90

Opp Avg Conceded61.0

Venue Avg59.7

Difficulty

Hard (#16)

Round 4

Fremantle

Away

Adelaide

Projected107

Opp Avg Conceded74.0

Venue Avg71.1

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 5

Carlton

Away

Adelaide

Projected84

Opp Avg Conceded56.3

Venue Avg71.1

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

FWD vs DEF — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Geelong

Away

GMHBA

Zach Guthrie

DEF

Avg 72.5

vs GEE: 64.0 avg (7 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 77.8 / you 61.0

Tom Stewart

DEF

Avg 118.5

vs GEE: 104.4 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 131.0 / you 59.7

Mark O'Connor

DEF

Avg 53.0

vs GEE: 62.9 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 69.7 / you 48.0

Sam De Koning

DEF

Avg 52.0

vs GEE: 56.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 55.7 / you 71.3

Jake Kolodjashnij

DEF

Avg 0.0

vs GEE: 62.5 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 53.0 / you 59.7

Round 4 vs Fremantle

Home

Adelaide

Jordan Clark

DEF

Avg 97.0

vs FRE: 86.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 96.7 / you 74.0

Luke Ryan

DEF

Avg 88.0

vs FRE: 110.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 86.3 / you 74.0

Alex Pearce

DEF

Avg 35.5

vs FRE: 60.9 avg (7 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 44.0 / you 74.0

Brennan Cox

DEF

Avg 0.0

vs FRE: 81.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 68.7 / you 74.0

Heath Chapman

DEF

Avg 70.5

vs FRE: 54.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 54.0 / you 67.5

Round 5 vs Carlton

Home

Adelaide

Adam Saad

DEF

Avg 83.0

vs CAR: 85.3 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 97.3 / you 56.3

Jacob Weitering

DEF

Avg 72.5

vs CAR: 81.7 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 97.7 / you 56.3

Lewis Young

DEF

Avg 59.0

vs CAR: 73.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 78.5 / you 60.0

Oliver Hollands

DEF

Avg 59.0

vs CAR: 56.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 65.0 / you 60.0

Lachlan Cowan

DEF

Avg 39.0

vs CAR: 27.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 27.0 / you 60.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	61.0	67.8	4	100	30	59.9(-12)	-4.0	12.4
4	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	74.0	76.6	3	87	50	72.7(+0)	-1.0	16.4
5	CarltonCAR	H	Adelaide	56.3	57.6	3	67	49	58.5(-14)	+0.9	11.4
6	St KildaSTK	H	Adelaide	70.0	65.0	5	110	38	67.3(-5)	-2.1	11.7
7	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	60.8	60.0	4	83	43	59.5(-13)	-0.8	11.7
8	Port AdelaidePTA	H	Adelaide	82.4	100.0	8	164	18	87.9(+16)	-1.0	19.2
9	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	77.0	81.3	3	129	40	82.2(+10)	+0.7	16.1
10	North MelbourneNTH	H	Adelaide	89.0	88.6	5	115	54	95.5(+23)	+5.9	19.8
11	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	72.5	65.2	6	91	51	69.4(-3)	-1.5	12.7
12	BYE
13	GeelongGEE	H	Adelaide	61.0	67.8	4	100	30	59.9(-12)	-4.0	12.4
14	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	122.5	124.6	2	149	96	116.8(+44)	+1.2	23.3
15	MelbourneMEL	H	Adelaide	54.0	52.0	5	65	46	57.0(-15)	-2.4	9.0
16	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	82.4	100.0	8	164	18	87.9(+16)	-1.0	19.2
17	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	80.2	81.5	6	126	30	87.8(+15)	+6.0	18.5
18	Gold CoastGCS	H	Adelaide	77.2	76.2	5	114	52	80.0(+8)	+3.9	15.9
19	SydneySYD	A	SCG	58.5	76.9	4	110	1	61.5(-11)	-2.7	13.3
20	CollingwoodCOL	H	Adelaide	81.2	83.4	6	103	57	77.3(+5)	-1.0	15.1
21	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	55.8	69.5	4	97	25	61.7(-11)	+1.0	12.6
22	RichmondRIC	H	Adelaide	77.0	81.3	3	129	40	82.2(+10)	+0.7	16.1
23	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	74.0	76.6	3	87	50	72.7(+0)	-1.0	16.4
24	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Adelaide	58.7	59.6	3	70	51	55.3(-17)	-1.9	11.5

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

4.5%

+0.1%

Rank

8160.0

1-wk Change

+0.1%

3-wk Change

+0.1%

Trades In

191

0.1%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

99.2%

Bench %

0.8%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.1%

Selection Trends

5.77%+0.95%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2 Western Bulldogs
0