Patrick Lipinski

COLMID/FWD

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$400k

Average

75.0

+75.0L3 avg

Total Points

150

+2games

Breakeven

5 below avg

Ownership

0.5%

+100rank

Position Rank

217

-117change

Value

18.76

+18.76L3 value

Career Avg

74.6

+0.4vs season

Last 3 Seasons

73.8

+1.2vs season

Last Year Avg

73.9

+1.1vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

75.0

Prev: 71.0

5-Game Avg

75.0

Projected

Range: 61–89

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyConsistent

Std Dev: 14.2

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (75.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	80	5 below
BE2 (2-wk)	63	12 above
BE3 (3-wk)	85	10 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$397,300	$-2,400
2 wks	$400,900	+$3,600
3 wks	$392,800	$-8,100

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$355,400 – $345,600	$44k to $54k	(API: $-2,400)
2 wks	$335,800 – $321,600	$20k to $24k	(API: +$3,600)
3 wks	$348,300 – $336,900	+$13k to +$15k	(API: $-8,100)

Total$51k to $63k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

GWS Giants

Away

Marvel

Projected75

Opp Avg Conceded87.0

Venue Avg75.6

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 4

Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected71

Opp Avg Conceded78.7

Venue Avg80.4

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 5

Fremantle

Away

Adelaide

Projected67

Opp Avg Conceded69.4

Venue Avg69.4

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs GWS Giants

Home

Marvel

Clayton Oliver

MID

Avg 102.3

vs GWS: 106.2 avg (14 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 121.3 / you 86.5

Stephen Coniglio

MID

Avg 94.7

vs GWS: 83.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 90.7 / you 78.3

Xavier O'Halloran

MID

Avg 45.0

vs GWS: 41.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 42.0 / you 78.3

Josh Kelly

MID

Avg 0.0

vs GWS: 108.1 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 114.7 / you 78.3

Toby Bedford

MID

Avg 0.0

vs GWS: 51.7 avg (3 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 60.0 / you 80.5

Round 4 vs Brisbane

Away

Gabba

Lachie Neale

MID

Avg 107.5

vs BRL: 99.7 avg (18 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 120.2 / you 77.8

Josh Dunkley

MID

Avg 94.5

vs BRL: 96.3 avg (13 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 106.5 / you 77.8

Zac Bailey

MID

Avg 76.0

vs BRL: 75.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 73.8 / you 77.8

Jarrod Berry

MID

Avg 75.0

vs BRL: 78.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 70.0 / you 77.8

Hugh McCluggage

MID

Avg 13.0

vs BRL: 96.0 avg (14 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 115.3 / you 77.8

Round 5 vs Fremantle

Home

Adelaide

Andrew Brayshaw

MID

Avg 84.5

vs FRE: 100.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 109.4 / you 66.8

Caleb Serong

MID

Avg 109.0

vs FRE: 101.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 106.0 / you 70.5

Shai Bolton

MID

Avg 105.0

vs FRE: 86.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 84.0 / you 60.3

Matthew Johnson

MID

Avg 79.5

vs FRE: 70.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 70.3 / you 63.8

Corey Wagner

MID

Avg 60.5

vs FRE: 53.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 48.5 / you 63.8

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	87.0	78.4	4	113	74	80.4(+6)	-2.2	20.1
4	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	78.7	73.8	9	96	63	77.8(+3)	-0.1	18.6
5	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	69.4	68.1	8	100	47	65.0(-10)	+0.3	15.9
6	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	76.0	70.8	12	129	7	70.3(-4)	-0.3	17.3
7	EssendonESS	A	MCG	76.0	72.7	8	99	50	70.3(-4)	+0.2	17.1
8	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	69.1	68.0	8	119	34	77.1(+3)	-1.6	17.4
9	GeelongGEE	A	MCG	76.2	74.5	6	104	48	77.0(+2)	-1.7	18.9
10	SydneySYD	A	SCG	65.4	65.6	5	94	32	63.7(-11)	-0.7	17.5
11	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	77.0	83.9	5	87	62	85.8(+11)	+3.9	21.4
12	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	75.5	70.2	4	96	54	72.3(-2)	-3.8	17.2
13	MelbourneMEL	H	MCG	80.3	85.3	11	131	43	92.3(+18)	+1.9	23.6
14	BYE
15	Port AdelaidePTA	H	MCG	74.8	99.9	9	114	41	97.2(+23)	-2.7	24.9
16	RichmondRIC	H	MCG	55.8	58.0	6	96	25	47.7(-27)	+2.3	11.1
17	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	76.6	85.2	7	97	54	83.7(+9)	+2.4	21.6
18	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	66.1	66.2	9	94	33	59.4(-15)	+3.4	17.1
19	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	76.0	70.8	12	129	7	70.3(-4)	-0.3	17.3
20	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	65.2	47.1	9	116	11	64.3(-10)	+0.7	11.1
21	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	76.2	74.5	6	104	48	77.0(+2)	-1.7	18.9
22	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	77.0	83.9	5	87	62	85.8(+11)	+3.9	21.4
23	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	69.1	68.0	8	119	34	77.1(+3)	-1.6	17.4
24	BrisbaneBRL	H	MCG	78.7	73.8	9	96	63	77.8(+3)	-0.1	18.6

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.5%

+0.0%

Rank

930.0

1-wk Change

+0.0%

3-wk Change

+0.0%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

90.1%

Bench %

9.9%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.49%+0.09%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2
0 St Kilda