Ned Long

COLMID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$420k

Average

66.5

+66.5L3 avg

Total Points

133

+2games

Breakeven

109

43 below avg

Ownership

0.4%

+140rank

Position Rank

261

-121change

Value

15.83

+15.83L3 value

Career Avg

65.4

+1.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

66.0

+0.5vs season

Last Year Avg

77.6

-11.1vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

66.5

Prev: 74.7

5-Game Avg

66.5

Projected

Range: 53–91

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 19.4

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (66.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	109	43 below
BE2 (2-wk)	97	31 below
BE3 (3-wk)	77	11 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$403,400	$-16,600
2 wks	$394,700	$-8,700
3 wks	$393,100	$-1,600

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$369,300 – $358,100	$51k to $62k	(API: $-16,600)
2 wks	$348,300 – $332,500	$21k to $26k	(API: $-8,700)
3 wks	$362,600 – $350,000	+$14k to +$18k	(API: $-1,600)

Total$57k to $70k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

GWS Giants

Away

Marvel

Projected72

Opp Avg Conceded48.5

Venue Avg97.7

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 4

Brisbane

Home

Gabba

Projected78

Opp Avg Conceded58.7

Venue Avg96.0

Difficulty

Easy (#6)

Round 5

Fremantle

Away

Adelaide

Projected74

Opp Avg Conceded79.5

Venue Avg100.5

Difficulty

Medium (#11)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs GWS Giants

Home

Marvel

Clayton Oliver

MID

Avg 102.3

vs GWS: 106.2 avg (14 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 97.5 / you 80.5

Finn Callaghan

MID

Avg 98.3

vs GWS: 114.5 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 144.0 / you 30.0

Stephen Coniglio

MID

Avg 94.7

vs GWS: 83.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 52.0 / you 30.0

Xavier O'Halloran

MID

Avg 45.0

vs GWS: 41.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 59.0 / you 30.0

Josh Kelly

MID

Avg 0.0

vs GWS: 108.1 avg (11 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 132.0 / you 30.0

Round 4 vs Brisbane

Away

Gabba

Lachie Neale

MID

Avg 107.5

vs BRL: 99.7 avg (18 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 126.0 / you 58.7

Josh Dunkley

MID

Avg 94.5

vs BRL: 96.3 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 108.7 / you 58.7

Will Ashcroft

MID

Avg 81.0

vs BRL: 74.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 73.7 / you 58.7

Zac Bailey

MID

Avg 76.0

vs BRL: 75.2 avg (11 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 57.7 / you 58.7

Jarrod Berry

MID

Avg 75.0

vs BRL: 78.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 59.7 / you 58.7

Round 5 vs Fremantle

Home

Adelaide

Shai Bolton

MID

Avg 105.0

vs FRE: 86.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 78.3 / you 73.3

Caleb Serong

MID

Avg 109.0

vs FRE: 101.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 113.0 / you 79.5

Andrew Brayshaw

MID

Avg 84.5

vs FRE: 100.2 avg (9 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 127.5 / you 79.5

Matthew Johnson

MID

Avg 79.5

vs FRE: 70.3 avg (4 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 69.5 / you 79.5

Corey Wagner

MID

Avg 60.5

vs FRE: 53.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 2 gm — them 48.0 / you 79.5

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	GWS GiantsGWS	H	Marvel	48.5	47.0	2	67	30	40.1(-25)	-2.2	11.5
4	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	58.7	52.5	3	96	26	58.7(-7)	-0.1	14.0
5	FremantleFRE	H	Adelaide	79.5	79.5	2	94	65	78.3(+13)	+0.3	18.9
6	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	43.3	42.1	3	67	26	41.0(-24)	-0.3	10.3
7	EssendonESS	A	MCG	56.0	58.5	2	87	25	56.0(-9)	+0.2	13.3
8	HawthornHAW	H	MCG	51.3	47.5	3	93	30	59.7(-6)	-1.6	12.2
9	GeelongGEE	A	MCG	67.5	69.6	2	94	41	64.3(-1)	-1.7	16.1
10	SydneySYD	A	SCG	91.5	93.3	2	114	69	91.5(+26)	-0.7	21.8
11	West CoastWCE	H	MCG	72.0	72.0	1	72	72	72.0(+7)	+3.9	17.1
12	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	50.0	50.6	2	57	43	55.0(-10)	-3.8	13.6
13	MelbourneMEL	H	MCG	67.0	61.9	3	84	40	82.5(+17)	+1.9	16.0
14	BYE
15	Port AdelaidePTA	H	MCG	113.0	113.0	1	113	113	113.0(+48)	-2.7	26.9
16	RichmondRIC	H	MCG	53.0	58.3	3	86	12	73.5(+8)	+2.3	12.6
17	Gold CoastGCS	A	People First	44.0	44.0	1	44	44	51.3(-14)	+2.4	10.5
18	North MelbourneNTH	H	Marvel	134.0	134.0	1	134	134	127.5(+62)	+3.4	31.9
19	CarltonCAR	H	MCG	43.3	42.1	3	67	26	41.0(-24)	-0.3	10.3
20	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	77.3	72.4	3	94	51	90.5(+25)	+0.7	18.4
21	GeelongGEE	H	MCG	67.5	69.6	2	94	41	64.3(-1)	-1.7	16.1
22	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	72.0	72.0	1	72	72	72.0(+7)	+3.9	17.1
23	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	51.3	47.5	3	93	30	59.7(-6)	-1.6	12.2
24	BrisbaneBRL	H	MCG	58.7	52.5	3	96	26	58.7(-7)	-0.1	14.0

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.4%

-0.0%

Rank

768.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.1%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

90.6%

Bench %

9.4%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.57%+0.03%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2
0 St Kilda