Luke McDonald

NTHDEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$389k

Average

66.0

+66.0L3 avg

Total Points

132

+2games

Breakeven

26 below avg

Ownership

0.1%

+327rank

Position Rank

264

+63change

Value

16.97

+16.97L3 value

Career Avg

73.1

-7.1vs season

Last 3 Seasons

72.1

-6.1vs season

Last Year Avg

71.9

-5.9vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

66.0

Prev: 64.7

5-Game Avg

66.0

Projected

Range: 50–82

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 16.7

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (66.0)

BE1 (1-wk)	92	26 below
BE2 (2-wk)	79	13 below
BE3 (3-wk)	78	12 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$377,300	$-11,600
2 wks	$373,500	$-3,800
3 wks	$364,000	$-9,500

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$385,400 – $384,600	$3k to $4k	(API: $-11,600)
2 wks	$383,600 – $382,400	$2k to $2k	(API: $-3,800)
3 wks	$376,100 – $373,300	$7k to $9k	(API: $-9,500)

Total$13k to $16k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Essendon

Home

Marvel

Projected66

Opp Avg Conceded68.0

Venue Avg71.2

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 4

Carlton

Away

Marvel

Projected71

Opp Avg Conceded86.5

Venue Avg71.2

Difficulty

Medium (#10)

Round 5

Brisbane

Away

Barossa

Projected57

Opp Avg Conceded71.3

Venue Avg46.0

Difficulty

Medium (#12)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Essendon

Away

Marvel

Jade Gresham

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs ESS: 63.0 avg (13 gm)H2H: 12 gm — them 62.9 / you 79.5

Peter Wright

FWD

Avg 69.5

vs ESS: 87.3 avg (11 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 87.4 / you 79.7

Kyle Langford

FWD

Avg 33.0

vs ESS: 68.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 69.6 / you 65.5

Matt Guelfi

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs ESS: 74.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 78.4 / you 75.9

Archie Perkins

FWD

Avg 45.5

vs ESS: 69.1 avg (7 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 72.5 / you 79.5

Round 4 vs Carlton

Home

Marvel

Will Hayward

FWD

Avg 70.5

vs CAR: 69.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 71.7 / you 65.6

Ben Ainsworth

FWD

Avg 51.5

vs CAR: 78.4 avg (12 gm)H2H: 10 gm — them 82.2 / you 82.1

Zac Williams

FWD

Avg 92.5

vs CAR: 80.6 avg (11 gm)H2H: 9 gm — them 85.9 / you 74.1

Lachie Fogarty

FWD

Avg 47.0

vs CAR: 84.3 avg (6 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 84.3 / you 72.2

Matthew Cottrell

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs CAR: 52.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 52.2 / you 75.0

Round 5 vs Brisbane

Home

Barossa

Charlie Cameron

FWD

Avg 84.0

vs BRL: 55.8 avg (13 gm)H2H: 11 gm — them 54.9 / you 70.5

Zac Bailey

FWD

Avg 76.0

vs BRL: 83.9 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 90.9 / you 70.5

Lincoln McCarthy

FWD

Avg 46.0

vs BRL: 74.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 80.8 / you 65.5

Eric Hipwood

FWD

Avg 0.0

vs BRL: 59.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 61.0 / you 72.5

Cam Rayner

FWD

Avg 63.5

vs BRL: 62.6 avg (8 gm)H2H: 7 gm — them 66.1 / you 62.1

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	EssendonESS	A	Marvel	68.0	71.7	13	102	48	76.0(+3)	+0.3	18.4
4	CarltonCAR	H	Marvel	86.5	82.6	13	122	52	73.8(+1)	-0.2	20.6
5	BrisbaneBRL	H	Barossa	71.3	53.3	15	132	28	68.2(-5)	-1.6	13.7
6	RichmondRIC	H	Marvel	60.4	48.0	13	86	20	53.6(-19)	+3.2	11.8
7	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	68.1	50.7	8	94	24	66.2(-7)	-1.3	17.5
8	GeelongGEE	A	GMHBA	78.5	91.8	12	104	46	85.4(+12)	-2.5	21.9
9	SydneySYD	H	Marvel	64.6	69.8	13	101	38	73.5(+0)	-1.9	17.9
10	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	67.2	78.4	15	136	3	74.8(+2)	+1.0	19.9
11	Gold CoastGCS	H	Marvel	76.3	69.2	15	101	12	80.1(+7)	+3.1	19.1
12	BYE
13	FremantleFRE	H	Hands	69.4	70.3	13	121	33	75.8(+3)	+0.3	17.3
14	West CoastWCE	H	Optus	80.5	83.1	11	131	32	78.4(+5)	+0.5	19.9
15	RichmondRIC	A	MCG	60.4	48.0	13	86	20	53.6(-19)	+3.2	11.8
16	EssendonESS	H	Marvel	68.0	71.7	13	102	48	76.0(+3)	+0.3	18.4
17	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	74.8	64.6	10	89	55	77.5(+4)	-1.9	16.8
18	CollingwoodCOL	A	Marvel	70.9	68.1	10	144	16	76.1(+3)	-1.2	17.7
19	MelbourneMEL	H	Marvel	86.5	82.9	12	138	42	99.5(+26)	+0.9	22.2
20	St KildaSTK	H	Marvel	78.9	96.0	12	132	37	79.7(+7)	+1.6	22.3
21	HawthornHAW	A	UTAS	74.8	64.6	13	140	12	78.2(+5)	+0.6	17.9
22	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	68.4	68.2	15	96	42	67.2(-6)	-0.7	16.9
23	GeelongGEE	H	Marvel	78.5	91.8	12	104	46	85.4(+12)	-2.5	21.9
24	SydneySYD	A	SCG	64.6	69.8	13	101	38	73.5(+0)	-1.9	17.9

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.1%

+0.0%

Rank

138.0

1-wk Change

+0.0%

3-wk Change

+0.0%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

87.0%

Bench %

13.0%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.05%-0.01%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2 West Coast
0