Bailey Smith

GEEMID

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$638k

Average

92.5

+92.5L3 avg

Total Points

185

+2games

Breakeven

183

91 below avg

Ownership

2.5%

+48rank

Position Rank

138

-90change

Value

14.49

+14.49L3 value

Career Avg

91.6

+0.9vs season

Last 3 Seasons

99.6

-7.1vs season

Last Year Avg

118.0

-25.5vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

92.5

Prev: 113.0

5-Game Avg

92.5

Projected

Range: 101–153

Form Trend

Hot

prev wk

ConsistencyVariable

Std Dev: 26.1

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (92.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	183	91 below
BE2 (2-wk)	108	16 below
BE3 (3-wk)	124	32 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$613,400	$-24,900
2 wks	$609,600	$-3,800
3 wks	$604,100	$-5,500

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$572,000 – $557,200	$66k to $81k	(API: $-24,900)
2 wks	$537,100 – $514,500	$35k to $43k	(API: $-3,800)
3 wks	$556,400 – $538,000	+$19k to +$24k	(API: $-5,500)

Total$82k to $100k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Adelaide

Away

GMHBA

Projected127

Opp Avg Conceded111.5

Venue Avg107.1

Difficulty

Hard (#14)

Round 4

Hawthorn

Home

MCG

Projected100

Opp Avg Conceded73.9

Venue Avg104.4

Difficulty

Medium (#8)

Round 5

West Coast

Away

Norwood Oval

Projected112

Opp Avg Conceded96.3

Venue Avg0.0

Difficulty

Hard (#17)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

MID vs MID — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Adelaide

Home

GMHBA

Jordan Dawson

MID

Avg 97.0

vs ADE: 96.6 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 60.0 / you 126.0

Izak Rankine

MID

Avg 77.0

vs ADE: 75.2 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 91.0 / you 126.0

Isaac Cumming

MID

Avg 72.5

vs ADE: 101.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 86.0 / you 126.0

Jake Soligo

MID

Avg 72.0

vs ADE: 71.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 63.0 / you 126.0

James Peatling

MID

Avg 69.0

vs ADE: 50.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 85.0 / you 126.0

Round 4 vs Hawthorn

Away

MCG

Jai Newcombe

MID

Avg 90.0

vs HAW: 86.8 avg (5 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 134.0 / you 80.0

Conor Nash

MID

Avg 84.3

vs HAW: 50.5 avg (8 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 60.0 / you 80.0

Cam Mackenzie

MID

Avg 83.5

vs HAW: 66.8 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 67.0 / you 80.0

Josh Ward

MID

Avg 80.7

vs HAW: 73.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 65.0 / you 80.0

Massimo D'Ambrosio

MID

Avg 60.3

vs HAW: 61.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 44.0 / you 80.0

Round 5 vs West Coast

Home

Norwood Oval

Tim Kelly

MID

Avg 90.0

vs WCE: 91.7 avg (6 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 92.0 / you 129.0

Jack Graham

MID

Avg 85.5

vs WCE: 75.8 avg (9 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 55.0 / you 129.0

Harley Reid

MID

Avg 79.5

vs WCE: 76.0 avg (2 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 74.0 / you 129.0

Brady Hough

MID

Avg 64.5

vs WCE: 48.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 40.0 / you 129.0

Elijah Hewett

MID

Avg 0.0

vs WCE: 92.0 avg (1 gm)H2H: 1 gm — them 92.0 / you 129.0

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	AdelaideADE	H	GMHBA	111.5	112.3	6	150	80	126.0(+34)	+0.7	17.1
4	HawthornHAW	A	MCG	73.9	74.9	7	108	44	80.0(-12)	-1.6	11.7
5	West CoastWCE	H	Norwood Oval	96.3	105.5	6	129	56	129.0(+37)	+3.9	16.1
6	Western BulldogsWBD	H	GMHBA	118.0	118.0	1	118	118	118.0(+26)	-3.8	18.5
7	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	104.3	112.8	8	156	82	137.5(+46)	-2.7	18.3
8	North MelbourneNTH	H	GMHBA	90.7	128.4	7	156	3	156.0(+64)	+3.4	19.9
9	CollingwoodCOL	H	MCG	90.9	95.8	7	144	36	111.0(+19)	-0.8	15.5
10	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	79.9	90.0	7	102	63	83.0(-9)	-0.1	14.0
11	SydneySYD	H	GMHBA	92.2	111.8	5	131	33	131.0(+39)	-0.7	16.5
12	CarltonCAR	A	MCG	87.5	92.6	6	120	38	122.2(+31)	-0.3	17.4
13	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	111.5	112.3	6	150	80	126.0(+34)	+0.7	17.1
14	Gold CoastGCS	H	GMHBA	92.8	88.6	6	117	61	108.0(+16)	+2.4	13.9
15	FremantleFRE	A	Optus	85.3	100.4	7	147	46	147.0(+55)	+0.3	15.1
16	BYE
17	BrisbaneBRL	H	GMHBA	79.9	90.0	7	102	63	83.0(-9)	-0.1	14.0
18	GWS GiantsGWS	A	ENGIE	92.0	95.6	8	154	55	104.3(+13)	-2.2	14.9
19	St KildaSTK	H	GMHBA	89.2	85.6	6	126	53	81.0(-11)	-1.1	13.5
20	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	103.8	101.8	8	141	69	102.6(+11)	+1.9	17.1
21	CollingwoodCOL	A	MCG	90.9	95.8	7	144	36	111.0(+19)	-0.8	15.5
22	EssendonESS	H	GMHBA	98.6	111.4	7	141	72	127.5(+36)	+0.2	17.8
23	North MelbourneNTH	A	Marvel	90.7	128.4	7	156	3	156.0(+64)	+3.4	19.9
24	RichmondRIC	H	GMHBA	91.1	105.1	7	129	59	129.0(+37)	+2.3	14.8

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

2.5%

+0.2%

Rank

4772.0

1-wk Change

+0.2%

3-wk Change

+0.1%

Trades In

312

0.1%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

94.3%

Bench %

5.7%

Captain %

0.3%

Vice-Captain %

0.6%

Selection Trends

3.04%-1.28%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2
0 Gold Coast