Alex Pearce

FREDEF

Selected in initial starting 18/22 (not including extended Sunday interchange bench and subject to late changes)

Price

$367k

Average

35.5

+35.5L3 avg

Total Points

+2games

Breakeven

141

106 below avg

Ownership

0.2%

+409rank

Position Rank

394

+15change

Value

9.67

+9.67L3 value

Career Avg

58.5

-23.0vs season

Last 3 Seasons

64.1

-28.6vs season

Last Year Avg

67.9

-32.4vs season

Score Trend

Price Trajectory

Form & Consistency

Neutral

3-Game Avg

35.5

Prev: 50.3

5-Game Avg

35.5

Projected

Range: 35–73

Form Trend

Neutral

prev wk

ConsistencyVolatile

Std Dev: 19.5

Price & Breakeven

Breakevens vs Avg (35.5)

BE1 (1-wk)	141	106 below
BE2 (2-wk)	100	65 below
BE3 (3-wk)	77	42 below

Price Projections

Next wk	$328,600	$-38,700
2 wks	$303,400	$-25,200
3 wks	$292,700	$-10,700

Total Price Change+$0k

Score Simulator

ⓘ

Custom Scores

Wk 1

Wk 2

Wk 3

Projected Price Range

Next wk	$338,900 – $332,500	$28k to $35k	(API: $-38,700)
2 wks	$317,400 – $306,200	$21k to $26k	(API: $-25,200)
3 wks	$308,500 – $295,300	$9k to $11k	(API: $-10,700)

Total$59k to $72k

Range (±10%) accounts for deflation, rookie discounts, and pricing model variance.

Upcoming Fixtures

Round 3

Richmond

Away

Optus

Projected54

Opp Avg Conceded64.8

Venue Avg60.6

Difficulty

Hard (#13)

Round 4

Adelaide

Home

Adelaide

Projected44

Opp Avg Conceded60.9

Venue Avg58.9

Difficulty

Medium (#9)

Round 5

Collingwood

Home

Adelaide

Projected53

Opp Avg Conceded55.1

Venue Avg58.9

Difficulty

Hard (#15)

Upcoming Opponent Matchups

DEF vs FWD — key opposing players for upcoming fixtures

Round 3 vs Richmond

Home

Optus

Tom Lynch

FWD

Avg 54.0

vs RIC: 71.3 avg (12 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 74.2 / you 62.2

Jack Ross

FWD

Avg 89.0

vs RIC: 50.0 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 49.0 / you 67.7

Tyler Sonsie

FWD

Avg 88.0

vs RIC: 54.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 60.0 / you 76.0

Noah Balta

FWD

Avg 51.5

vs RIC: 75.0 avg (5 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 69.7 / you 58.7

Maurice Rioli

FWD

Avg 48.0

vs RIC: 32.0 avg (3 gm)H2H: 3 gm — them 32.0 / you 76.0

Round 4 vs Adelaide

Away

Adelaide

Alex Neal-Bullen

FWD

Avg 71.0

vs ADE: 57.9 avg (12 gm)H2H: 8 gm — them 60.0 / you 58.5

Taylor Walker

FWD

Avg 79.5

vs ADE: 66.3 avg (18 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 49.7 / you 65.0

Callum Ah Chee

FWD

Avg 45.0

vs ADE: 58.7 avg (9 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 56.2 / you 67.5

Izak Rankine

FWD

Avg 77.0

vs ADE: 91.4 avg (5 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 91.4 / you 58.8

Josh Rachele

FWD

Avg 69.0

vs ADE: 73.5 avg (4 gm)H2H: 4 gm — them 73.5 / you 54.0

Round 5 vs Collingwood

Away

Adelaide

Jordan De Goey

FWD

Avg 73.0

vs COL: 75.3 avg (8 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 75.5 / you 47.3

Daniel McStay

FWD

Avg 36.5

vs COL: 64.2 avg (12 gm)H2H: 6 gm — them 72.0 / you 58.2

Patrick Lipinski

FWD

Avg 75.0

vs COL: 69.4 avg (8 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 65.8 / you 64.2

Beau McCreery

FWD

Avg 65.5

vs COL: 50.2 avg (6 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 40.0 / you 66.0

Jamie Elliott

FWD

Avg 45.0

vs COL: 67.9 avg (11 gm)H2H: 5 gm — them 72.2 / you 53.4

Fixture Outlook

Weighted L3 season avg vs each upcoming opponent (40/34/26) — green = favourable, red = tough

Season Fixture

Rd	Opponent	H/A	Venue	Career Avg	L3 Avg	GP	High	Low	Key Opp. Avg	vs Pos	Value
3	RichmondRIC	H	Optus	64.8	78.5	8	99	29	68.1(+10)	+3.2	21.0
4	AdelaideADE	A	Adelaide	60.9	62.2	7	84	34	60.8(+2)	+1.0	16.3
5	CollingwoodCOL	A	Adelaide	55.1	73.3	9	97	12	57.8(-1)	-1.2	19.8
6	West CoastWCE	A	Optus	62.8	71.4	12	80	34	62.2(+4)	+0.5	19.7
7	CarltonCAR	H	Optus	55.6	50.8	8	77	37	48.7(-10)	-0.2	13.6
8	Western BulldogsWBD	A	Marvel	51.9	56.8	10	77	27	57.2(-1)	-0.7	15.2
9	HawthornHAW	H	Optus	48.7	51.6	7	77	29	48.5(-10)	+0.6	11.4
10	EssendonESS	A	MCG	60.3	54.7	6	74	42	59.3(+1)	+0.3	11.4
11	St KildaSTK	H	Optus	77.9	85.5	8	109	53	68.8(+10)	+1.6	23.1
12	BrisbaneBRL	A	Gabba	65.2	83.8	9	108	38	68.5(+10)	-1.6	20.1
13	North MelbourneNTH	A	Hands	55.7	57.7	7	88	30	59.3(+1)	-0.5	15.1
14	BYE
15	GeelongGEE	H	Optus	61.7	76.6	6	103	19	63.5(+5)	-2.5	23.9
16	Gold CoastGCS	H	Optus	49.9	32.5	8	78	18	48.6(-10)	+3.1	8.8
17	GWS GiantsGWS	A	Manuka	50.7	48.2	7	96	19	51.9(-7)	-1.3	8.8
18	SydneySYD	H	Optus	55.3	64.5	7	78	31	56.6(-2)	-1.9	17.2
19	Port AdelaidePTA	A	Adelaide	58.3	75.6	8	98	36	60.5(+2)	-1.9	20.1
20	West CoastWCE	H	Adelaide	62.8	71.4	12	80	34	62.2(+4)	+0.5	19.7
21	Western BulldogsWBD	H	Optus	51.9	56.8	10	77	27	57.2(-1)	-0.7	15.2
22	MelbourneMEL	A	MCG	56.9	60.4	8	77	11	56.6(-2)	+0.9	17.2
23	AdelaideADE	H	Optus	60.9	62.2	7	84	34	60.8(+2)	+1.0	16.3
24	CarltonCAR	A	Marvel	55.6	50.8	8	77	37	48.7(-10)	-0.2	13.6

Ownership & Trading

Ownership

0.2%

-0.0%

Rank

410.0

1-wk Change

-0.0%

3-wk Change

-0.0%

Trades In

0.0%

Trades Out

0.0%

Start %

91.2%

Bench %

8.8%

Captain %

0.0%

Vice-Captain %

0.0%

Selection Trends

0.25%-0.06%

1 Mar 11:12 pm – 8 Mar 11:10 pm

Settings

Compact Table

Player History

OPPONENT
2 Melbourne
0